Sunday, March 11, 2007

Fools Lie Ahead

Steve Doerschuk outlines the Raiders and Lions draft plans.

Who will be the Browns Pick?

One educated guess: Savage is warming up to Quinn, not erasing Peterson just because he has Jamal Lewis, and wishing Joe Thomas oozed more "great" than "really good," given what he will cost. To a large extent, I think, Savage himself is still heavily engaged in guessing.

Savage has a clue who the Raiders and Lions will pick ahead of him, but everyone knows those are two teams whose ideas can be odd. The top of the draft is thick with intrigue for teams needing juice on offense, where the best talent in the draft is pooled. Quarterbacks JaMarcus Russell and Brady Quinn, wideout Calvin Johnson, left tackle Joe Thomas and running back Adrian Peterson could be the top five picks.

Unpredictability is Raider czar Al Davis' favorite sport, his 31-year-old head coach being the latest case in point. This old dude once picked Sebastian Janikowski one spot before he could have had Shaun Alexander. The crazy Lions spent No. 2, No. 7 and No. 10 overall picks on wideouts in consecutive years.

Matt Millen obviously likes receivers. Everybody loves Calvin. Some mock drafts, including nfldraftscout.com, have Russell and Quinn going to Oakland and Detroit. But there are as many combinations of things that could happen at the top of the draft as in a lotto "pick three." Bottom line: Savage must monitor all five players listed above, unable to be sure which one might drop in his lap.

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